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Thread: Dự trữ ngoại hối Việt Nam đang cạn kiệt

  1. #7741
    Member Dr_Tran's Avatar
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    Well, I stay away from the Forex market for now!

    Quote Originally Posted by Rationalist View Post
    You think there 're momentum for AUD to jump again?
    Long AUD/USD is OK?
    Do you have any news abt this ? I think yr nephews in Australia can know much.
    Tks !
    Well, I stay away from the Forex market for now!

    Sir Stevens (RBA chief) gave a scathing remark at President Obama's speech a few days ago on the debt deal.

    I wouldn't be surprised that Sir Stevens intervened into the Forex market, plunging AUD/ USD 200 pips today.

    Don't you notice, while traders dump US stocks today, who's selling AUD that largely, while AUD is known as a "safe heaven" currency for years now?

    -------------------------------------

    In time of US economic trouble, AUD always goes up, as it did last week.

    But today, right when US stocks were dumped more than any other day this year, suddenly AUD goes DOWN 200 pips!

    Swiss Franc goes up 200 pips, as expected.

    There must be a huge currency intervention, which I think Sir Stevens is behind it, as he already lambasted the US debt deal as making USD too low, his AUD too high and that would hurt Australian export.

    -------------------------------------

    So, I don't know about you, but I stay as far away from the Forex market as possible these days!

    Can't play directly against FED, RBA, ECB, etc.

  2. #7742
    Member Dr_Tran's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by NewTrader View Post
    Tôi kịp mua lúc 1635, 1636,..., 1638, now 1660, put T/L for sure. Do stock toàn cầu đỏ sàn thế này, và 2 cái chuông nặng AAA- và Jobless on Thursday đang treo lơ lửng ở trên, nên cược là giá sẽ lên. Không ngờ lên thiệt, chắc là may mắn.
    Good for you, but must be extra-careful tomorrow, because the unemployment news to be released on Thurs could be good.

    It only takes a rumor, just have to be big enough, about a good unemployment report for gold to go down.

    If that is the case, gold may go down $10, $20, or even $30 tomorrow.

    That would be enough to eat all your gain today, if you don't put a trailing stop.

    So, be cool, but be careful. Sorry I have to reiterate this too many times like a parakeet, but I still make that greedy mistake from time to time: NOT TO PUT A TRAILING STOP, out of greed.

    I put a stop order now, at 1655.

    Internet gold is never exhaustible, so don't ever feel bad to sell it when you already make a profit!

    Because you can always buy it back later, sometimes at a lower price.

  3. #7743
    Member Dr_Tran's Avatar
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    SELLING ALL VN STOCKS, BUYING GOLD, USD.

    VNM NY down:

    http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/fund/vnm

    -0.37 -1.92%

    Tonight, VNI and HNX would be HORRIBLE.

    Free advice: SELLING ALL VN STOCKS, BUYING GOLD, USD.

  4. #7744
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    Quote Originally Posted by NewTrader View Post
    Tôi kịp mua lúc 1635, 1636,..., 1638, now 1660, put T/L for sure. Do stock toàn cầu đỏ sàn thế này, và 2 cái chuông nặng AAA- và Jobless on Thursday đang treo lơ lửng ở trên, nên cược là giá sẽ lên. Không ngờ lên thiệt, chắc là may mắn.
    Done deal @ 1657. Stay out and wait for jobless claim on Thursday.

  5. #7745
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dr_Tran View Post
    Well, I stay away from the Forex market for now!

    Sir Stevens (RBA chief) gave a scathing remark at President Obama's speech a few days ago on the debt deal.

    I wouldn't be surprised that Sir Stevens intervened into the Forex market, plunging AUD/ USD 200 pips today.

    Don't you notice, while traders dump US stocks today, who's selling AUD that largely, while AUD is known as a "safe heaven" currency for years now?

    -------------------------------------

    In time of US economic trouble, AUD always goes up, as it did last week.

    But today, right when US stocks were dumped more than any other day this year, suddenly AUD goes DOWN 200 pips!

    Swiss Franc goes up 200 pips, as expected.

    There must be a huge currency intervention, which I think Sir Stevens is behind it, as he already lambasted the US debt deal as making USD too low, his AUD too high and that would hurt Australian export.

    -------------------------------------

    So, I don't know about you, but I stay as far away from the Forex market as possible these days!

    Can't play directly against FED, RBA, ECB, etc.
    Tôi không cưỡng được cảm giác ăn thua, nhảy vào @1 .0818, nhảy ra ở 1.0788, bị phỏng chút ít. Oh well.

    Dr Tran nghĩ rằng RBA can thiệp, ya chỉ có vậy mới giải thích được tại sao lại một ngày rớt cái ào xuống sâu như vậy. Nhưng tôi thắc mắc không hiểu Úc xuất cảng qua Mỹ bao nhiêu mà phải làm vậy, Nhật th́ có lư, v́ Nhật bạn hàng lớn của Mỹ, tiền Nhật mà lên cao đột xuất quá mạnh, dân Mỹ ngán không mua đồ Nhật nữa th́ kinh tế Nhật chỉ có nước ngáp dài.

    Cbn, đang đà thắng, "nó" không cho ḿnh tiến nhanh, tiến mạnh, tiến vững chắc, mà nó bắt ḿnh thụt lùi một chút :D

  6. #7746
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dr_Tran View Post
    Well, I stay away from the Forex market for now!

    Sir Stevens (RBA chief) gave a scathing remark at President Obama's speech a few days ago on the debt deal.

    I wouldn't be surprised that Sir Stevens intervened into the Forex market, plunging AUD/ USD 200 pips today.

    Don't you notice, while traders dump US stocks today, who's selling AUD that largely, while AUD is known as a "safe heaven" currency for years now?

    -------------------------------------

    In time of US economic trouble, AUD always goes up, as it did last week.

    But today, right when US stocks were dumped more than any other day this year, suddenly AUD goes DOWN 200 pips!

    Swiss Franc goes up 200 pips, as expected.

    There must be a huge currency intervention, which I think Sir Stevens is behind it, as he already lambasted the US debt deal as making USD too low, his AUD too high and that would hurt Australian export.

    -------------------------------------

    So, I don't know about you, but I stay as far away from the Forex market as possible these days!

    Can't play directly against FED, RBA, ECB, etc.
    Your explanation ‘s full of meaning.
    The down of AUD against USD can intervene only by tycoon/Govt. ‘cause it ‘s not logical. The so-called illogicality seems logical.
    In fact, it ‘s difficult for tycoon to get back money from you since you’re not a mayfly to fight in any battle.
    Your tactics of “hit & run” ‘s invincible.

  7. #7747
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rationalist View Post
    Your explanation ‘s full of meaning.
    The down of AUD against USD can intervene only by tycoon/Govt. ‘cause it ‘s not logical. The so-called illogicality seems logical.
    In fact, it ‘s difficult for tycoon to get back money from you since you’re not a mayfly to fight in any battle.
    Your tactics of “hit & run” ‘s invincible.
    Cái tin này giải thích về sự rớt giá của AUSusd :

    $A falls after RBA decision, weak US data August 3, 2011 - 7:44AM
    The Australian dollar was over one US cent lower on Wednesday after the central bank kept the cash rates on hold on Tuesday and the release of weak US economic data overnight.

    At 0700 (AEST), the Australian dollar was trading at 107.80 US cents, down from 108.90 cents on Tuesday.

    The Australian dollar has fallen steadily since the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) announced it kept the interest rate at 4.75 per cent on Tuesday afternoon.


    HiFX senior dealer Dan Bell said investors were moving out of high-risk, high-yield assets and moving in to safe haven assets.

    "The Aussie dollar was weaker following that statement and weaker overnight following further risk aversion," Mr Bell said from Auckland.

    "We also had the RBA yesterday with a statement, which was not as concerned about inflation as expected."

    Data released overnight showed US consumer spending dropped 0.2 per cent in June, the first decline since September 2009.

    "Uncertainty about the global outlook continues to weigh on investor sentiment," Mr Bell said.

    "The weaker consumer spending in the United States weighed on growth expectations of the US economy and that follows weaker manufacturing data earlier this week and weaker GDP (gross domestic product) number last week.

    "So you've got more analysts revising down their growth expectations for the US economy and their outlook for US equities."

    The focus for the Australian market on Wednesday is the release of June retail sales figures and international trade data.

    "Retail sales are going to be important because of the recent weakness," Mr Bell said.

    © 2011 AAP

    http://news.smh.com.au/breaking-news...803-1ia9w.html

    Chứ tôi không nghĩ RBA can thiệp bằng cách bán ra, mua vào như BOJ thường làm đâu.

  8. #7748
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    Thôi đứng ngoài forex, vàng một thời gian ngắn. Làm vài session poker cho thoải mái tinh thần đă. :D

  9. #7749
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dr_Tran View Post
    Tôi thấy stocks Mỹ xuống mạnh, bên Âu Á đều vậy, nên nay tôi mua thêm vàng, đây là 1 ngoại lệ rất hiếm.

    Người ta lo lắng có RECESSION trở lại, nếu thứ 5, 6 tin thất nghiệp xấu cộng vào th́ có thể lên 1700:
    Giá vàng bất ngờ lập kỷ lục 1.661,9 USD/ounce

    “Các ngân hàng trung ương mua vàng và sức ép lên Fed phải có gói QE3 đă khiến vàng đi ngược với mọi dự báo của giới phân tích.”
    http://cafef.vn/20110803065222683CA5...9-usdounce.chn

    “BẤT NGỜ” là cho những ai không chịu vô hóng tin trong Vietland mấy ngày hôm nay ḱa.

    Chứng kiến cảnh các bác trên này hốt tiền mà phát sốt rét.

  10. #7750
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    Quote Originally Posted by cachon View Post
    Giá vàng bất ngờ lập kỷ lục 1.661,9 USD/ounce

    “Các ngân hàng trung ương mua vàng và sức ép lên Fed phải có gói QE3 đă khiến vàng đi ngược với mọi dự báo của giới phân tích.”
    http://cafef.vn/20110803065222683CA5...9-usdounce.chn

    “BẤT NGỜ” là cho những ai không chịu vô hóng tin trong Vietland mấy ngày hôm nay ḱa.

    Chứng kiến cảnh các bác trên này hốt tiền mà phát sốt rét.
    NewTrader won very big as a personal trader.

    I won bigger but it's very small as an Institution.

    John Paulson must have been making billions since Monday last week.

    I made $15M for the New VN gov. after tax and costs.

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